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How Emails Increase Persistence

Arthur Hughes, Silverpop
by: Arthur Hughes (@)
23 April 2012

While working at a large membership organization (numbers changed to preserve confidentiality), I learned about an aspect of email marketing that I hadn’t encountered before. This company has roughly 1 million members who pay an annual membership fee of about $500 per year. The members receive direct mail once a month, offering them many different products. In addition, about one-third of them are also signed up for emails, receiving about three emails per month.

I was trying to learn the lifetime value of the email subscribers. At first I assumed that the LTV should be based only on the products sold, since the membership fee was common to all members. But then I thought, “I wonder if the emails help decrease membership cancellations?”

To answer this question, I had the company’s analytical department track all members over a two-year period, comparing those who received direct mail only to those who received the direct mail plus the emails. The results were amazing.

As you’d expect, in both groups there were members who cancelled their membership. But those receiving emails were much more loyal as a group than those who received only direct mail. In fact, the emails saved 5.75 percent of the members from cancelling their membership over the two years. This made a major difference in the LTV of email subscribers. Here’s how the LTV of the email subscribers looked:

Previously, the company had been basing its email subscriber LTV only on the sales in the emails. With this data it saw that by far the most important aspect of the emails was the reduction in the membership cancellation rate.

Why do emails boost persistence? Because emails are a conversation with members. They’re interactive. They encourage members to respond to surveys, to watch videos, to ask questions and get answers. Email subscribers feel closer to the company than those who receive direct mail alone. Persistence applies to many different companies.

Arthur Middleton Hughes’ most recent book, “Strategic Database Marketing 4th Edition” (McGraw-Hill 2012), has information on computing email subscriber LTV.

Related Resources:
1) Blog: "Unengaged Subscribers Are Costing You"
2) Webinar: "Inactive Email Subscribers: Tips for Taming the Beast"
3) Blog: "Inactive Subscribers and the Potato Skin Myth"

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  1. Arthur Hughes

    Will, thank you for your perceptive comments. In the actual case which I reported on, all members received (the same) monthly direct mail. Only about one-third also received email, which was more frequent than monthly. No one received only email. As you can see, this was a near-perfect test of the effectiveness of email in boosting the retention of members as compared to direct mail only over a two-year period.

    1. Will

      Thanks for the response Arthur

  2. Will Egan

    Hi Arthur, Thanks for your post, it's very insightful and the evidence is strong. I seek clarification on one point: the members who received email verse those who received direct mail. Are these events exclusive? Or, could a member who receives email also receive direct mail (non exclusive)? The reason why I ask is that I believe that a membership retention rate will always continue to improve where a member feels more value, ultimately where a member receives more attention from the organisation or membership body. If a member receives both email and direct mail it would be assumed that they would be more loyal than a member who only receives direct mail or email, but not both. Silverpop clearly advocates for multi-channel marketing and it's programs attest to this by allowing the integration of a 'direct mail event' in the program logic. Do your statistics provide any light on the following: 1) Unsubscribe rate of members who only receive email. 2) Unsubscribe rate of members who receive email and direct mail. May I suggest that adding one simple Venn Diagram to this post would answer my question perfectly. Thank you, Will Egan

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